I had Kim at +100, against Nadia Kassem. And anyways, that bet then is ~3u bet now. I know you keep yours close to the chest but I'll offer you a free tip: the point of this thing is to win money. Not to win Best Grump at the Cantankerous Asshat Awards. That said, you should stop gambling. You lose too much.
Boredom.
I consider myself somewhat of a Black Beast specialist. Since his fight with Roy (where I unwisely had a lot of money against him) I made a concerted effort to rewatch all of his previous fights, in order to see what have I missed, to get a better grasp of his style. I followed his career since closely and I pretty much could tell the shape of all of his fights. Sadly, not the outcome.
Still, this doesn't help me to easily pick a winner here... This is gonna be one of those sloppy afairs of Lewis, where he just survives in the best game of his opponent for the 90% of the time, and plugging in some of his offence for 30 secods to a minute every round, resulting in him maybe winning them. If Lewis doesn't get stopped, I can easily see him picking up another close decision win. And you'll tell me - but he's not fighitng a blown up LHW or some other crappy HW, it's Curtis Blaydes! I don't care that it's Curtis fucking Blaydes, if Lewis still breathes, he finds a way to win rounds! His end of round blitzes are proven to steal rounds time after time! And aside when he's getting tooled on the feet, when he is getting wrestled he doesn't really absorb damage or being really dominated and it doesn't look like he's losing that badly in the judges' eyes!
Another layer to this is Lewis new found love for offensive grappling. All these years he wasn't really a stand and bang guy, in his heart he is a murderous puncher from top, and this is where most of his finishes comes from actually. I feel as a wrestler Blaydes isn't comfortable fighting off his back, and IF for some reason (wild scramble, or Lewis actually shooting TD!) he finds himself there it can get really nasty for him...
My prediction: Lewis with an ugly win
My tip: Please don't bet on this fight
Still fuck all analysis. Same old from the clueless crazy guy.
I consider myself somewhat of a Black Beast specialist. Since his fight with Roy (where I unwisely had a lot of money against him) I made a concerted effort to rewatch all of his previous fights, in order to see what have I missed, to get a better grasp of his style. I followed his career since closely and I pretty much could tell the shape of all of his fights. Sadly, not the outcome.
Still, this doesn't help me to easily pick a winner here... This is gonna be one of those sloppy afairs of Lewis, where he just survives in the best game of his opponent for the 90% of the time, and plugging in some of his offence for 30 secods to a minute every round, resulting in him maybe winning them. If Lewis doesn't get stopped, I can easily see him picking up another close decision win. And you'll tell me - but he's not fighitng a blown up LHW or some other crappy HW, it's Curtis Blaydes! I don't care that it's Curtis fucking Blaydes, if Lewis still breathes, he finds a way to win rounds! His end of round blitzes are proven to steal rounds time after time! And aside when he's getting tooled on the feet, when he is getting wrestled he doesn't really absorb damage or being really dominated and it doesn't look like he's losing that badly in the judges' eyes!
Another layer to this is Lewis new found love for offensive grappling. All these years he wasn't really a stand and bang guy, in his heart he is a murderous puncher from top, and this is where most of his finishes comes from actually. I feel as a wrestler Blaydes isn't comfortable fighting off his back, and IF for some reason (wild scramble, or Lewis actually shooting TD!) he finds himself there it can get really nasty for him...
My prediction: Lewis with an ugly win
My tip: Please don't bet on this fight
