Wow, I'm actually regretting not playing Moreno at +170. I think Moreno holds the advantage on the feet. Ortiz is the better grappler but he haven't seen that much of Moreno's grappling, his wrestling looked good vs Benoit and he's training with high level guys like Dillashaw in Colorado so he might surprise people. The 5 inch reach advantage is significant too. I think Moreno can box Ortiz up at range, I thought his striking looked really good vs Benoit.
Biggest question is how does Moreno deal with the grappling and wrestling of Ortiz, we haven't seen much TDD from Moreno, he's not really tested and Ortiz is his biggest test.
I think Ortiz is in his prime right now but he's always in close fights, 3 of his last 4 wins were split decisions. That doesn't inspire confidence when I'm looking to make a play.
Big step up for Moreno though and the hometown advantage is relevant for Ortiz. I've considered playing both sides, I'll pick Ortiz but not with confidence, Moreno could surprise people.