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UFN 108 - Swanson vs Lobov - Nashville

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Apr 1, 2017.

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  1. MMA Gambling Expert #1 Banned

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    L party
     
  2. MMA Gambling Expert #1 Banned

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    No sig bet, just offering my friendly advice.
     
  3. BigNick100 Green Belt

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    Man, I just realized I have a lot more Ellenberger then I thought. That makes me nervous. My night could ride on Ellebberger and that is making me sick lol. I might do a little hedging, thinking about it.
     
  4. Rasdun Orange Belt

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    why is the o/u on Dodson so out of whack. isn't Dodson by dec the most likely outcome?
     
  5. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Dude im not saying much more we will see in a few hrs but you are clearly being partial cos you are on Sand. Elliott choked him. Yes he locked in a triangle on Rizzo end of r1 but he wasnt unable to finish the round ended before he could tap him. He secures the triangle again in r2 and taps him as he had plenty of time to work.
     
  6. cagebrain Purple Belt

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    Woke up this morning in an intoxicated state. Checked out 5dimes, I thought my eyes were hallucinating. Dodson/Wineland o2.5 at +215??? SMASHED THAT.

    Thanks Luca.

    Anyone here on Proctor? Yeah he's a jobber, but IDK how barbarena can be -3xx against anyone in the UFC. Proctor +285 pretty tempting
     
  7. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    I guess people are fading wines twice broken jaw. Im very tempted to hit the over but i think its a trap bet
     
  8. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    OMFG

    moreno ITD +1224?
    moreno NSC +235? this was like -235 last night!
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    people are batshit crazy, that's why

    could dodson ko him? yea. but shit like dodson DEC +437 last night? come ON, insane
     
  10. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Cavalcante was an aggressive fighter but never once did I see him go full spaz like De Lima does in basically every fight. @Jamah is right, he is easily the guy in the UFC most desperate to end fights in rd 1. And his sub defense sucks even before he gets tired, then just gets worse. If OSP does take him down, pretty good chance it doesn't last long on the ground either.
     
  11. cagebrain Purple Belt

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    Wow. SMASHED both of those.

    Wtf is happening to these lines? Ortiz's odds drop yet Morenos finish odds got way better. wtf is going on.
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    exactly, fucking insane
     
  13. MMA Gambling Expert #1 Banned

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    As an MMA expert bettor, do you agree with Gamblou's thoughts on OSP?
     
  14. Jamah Green Belt

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    [​IMG]
     
  15. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Great call on those Ortiz/Moreno props. Ortiz has finished 2 of 10 UFC opponents. He's a terrific scrambler, but he's not a finisher against good fighters. No idea why that NSC line moved like that. Just hit it at +210. Took that Moreno itd line for a tiny bet at +1100.
     
  16. Cornrow Kenny #MakeSherdogGreatAgain Banned

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    #SerialKiller
     
  17. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    WINELAND DECISION IS +1253!!!

    THIS IS #VALUECITY!!!!
     
  18. MMA Gambling Expert #1 Banned

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    Joseph Budden what are your most elite plays?
     
  19. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    Wow. I though 7.50 was too high.

    I haven't felt this nervous for a event in a really long time. I just realized I'm only in dogs so I hope they bark. Feels like these lines been moving so much I don't know what to think...
     
  20. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    I think that Dustin Ortiz is the best play on this card at -120. That will definitely be my biggest bet. I might come to eat crow on this but I just don't see Moreno getting the victory here. Outside of a submission (which I might hedge on +600) I just like think Ortiz is too strong, has too good of wrestling, and veteran savvy to go along with durability and conditioning to lose this fight against a young prospect likeMoreno with a litany of holes in his game. I love Brandon and his affable personality plus his fight style, but I just can't get on board with him getting a win here, at 24 years old, he's young and I think he'll grow from the loss but I think he gets grounded into dust by the gritty and grimy Ortiz. lol

    Again, I could be dead wrong but I believe it should be more around Dustin Ortiz -220
     
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