UFN 89 - Wonderboy vs Waterboy - 6/18 - Ontario part II

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I like the 2 dudes in the 2nd vid cheers for sharing. Nice in depth analysis but what's their record on picks like?
Can't see the vids from work, but if the bottom video is the vivisection, here are there fight pick records

Zane: 111-75, 60% correct
Connor: 106-80, 57% correct
 
Is it a small cage this weekend? It's a small venue.
 
small cage hurts Wonderboy me thinks

probably helps Cote
 
I'm on the fence about this i like wonder boy since he's a new fighter i wanna see him do good but i also like rory..can not decide..
 
If small cage. I will do many changes in my picks.
 
I asked a couple people on twitter as well... MMAjunkieMatt and MikeBohnMMA
 
Soto r3 +1600?
Was hoping for +2000, but can't fault anyone for stabbing. Think Beal's cardio will be a bit improved back at 135, and I have a theory that I think could be plausible where these early weigh ins allow guys to take more damage from having a better method and more time for rehydration. We haven't seen enough for me to speak with confidence on this theory, but I can't stop thinking about the amounts of damage fighters took at 199 without going down.
 
From twitter - Spoke with Marc Ratner, who said it's a full-size cage.
 
@Joseph Budden

I have never touched that Round Robin concept, but have tried it out now with a risky 4man. Is there any tactical way to implement Round Robin in a serious part of betting or just for the lulz?
 
FWIW Carlos Condit was on the Luke Thomas show yesterday and picked Rory. Mark Henry was on today and picked Wonderboy.
 
From twitter - Spoke with Marc Ratner, who said it's a full-size cage.

Card is the GOAT in the betting section.
 
fight pass:

herrera-bagautinov
herrera looks outstanding as good as ever
ali bags also looks excellent. strong 125'ers.
they're the same size, i think.

covington-meunier
meunier looks darn good considering the short notice. new entrant to the giant 170 club.
covington looks outstanding as always.
meunier is a lot bigger. maybe 4" taller and rangier.

markos-lybarger
lybarger looks meh. awkward and unathletic. tad better than last fight..? maybe?
markos MISSES weight, 117, and she looks softer than ever.
lybarger is 4" taller


theodorou-alvey
alvey looks ok. never looks great.
theo looks slimmer for sure. still not super thin, but he looks improved for sure
they're the same size

fs2:

soto-beal
soto lookin decent enough, about standard.
beal looks good. not as cut as when 125, obv. but looks good.
beal is 1" taller

jotko-mccrory
jotko looks thicker each time i feel, he looks pretty strong...
mccrory looks in good shape, hairline not withstanding!
mccrory is 3" taller

cirkunov-cutelaba
cutelaba looks excellent, but in at 202.5...
cirkunov looks great as always. freakin massive.
cirkunov is 2" taller and definitely thicker

silva-saggo
silva looks much back down at 155.
saggo looks sharp.
saggo 1" taller

fs1:

calderwood-letourneau
jojo looks a bit soft at 125... i'm sure it's more comfortable for her, but idk...
val looks much healthier at 125. tho yes, softer, too.
they're the same size

OAM-gouti
gouti looks solid.
OAM looks great as usual. absolute tank.
OAM 1" taller

o'connell-bosse
O'connell as always is soft for 205. should be 185. same as always.
bosse same deal. even softer.
oconnell 1" taller. small 205'ers.

cote-cerrone
cote lookin as good as ever for him. same as he has lately.
cowboy looks good as usual, same as last fight at 170.
cote maybe 1" taller, lil thicker.

macdonald-thompson
wonderboy looks great. same as last fight.
rory looks solid. honestly i think he looks the same as always, despite some people's usada rumors
same size

----

hedged a LOT of my markos action with direct price hedge: lybarger +165 based on weighins. WTF, randa!? 117.5? and super soft.

hedged most of my small calderwood action.
 
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