UFC on ESPN+ 28 Lee vs Oliveira

[Sono07]

Bea is pretty terrible. Macedo is better everywhere. The skill discrepancy is pretty large

but like I said, Macedos fight iq is awful. She is submission over position and she goes for really low success rate subs and puts herself in bad spots

That's what got me off of Burns, position
control is huge. Might pass this one I burned myself out taping wmma for 248.

Got this weird feeling about Burns vs Maia though. Either we see a finish on either side in under 2.5 R's for +180 or a close fight.

Rani looked bigger then Barzola

My worry is Barzola cut too much and it may hurt him in a grappling exchanges. If the cut didn't depelete him his striking and TDD have impressed here.

 

[Wiktoruspro]

That's what got me off of Burns, position
control is huge. Might pass this one I burned myself out taping wmma for 248.

Got this weird feeling about Burns vs Maia though. Either we see a finish on either side in under 2.5 R's for +180 or a close fight.

My worry is Barzola cut too much and it may hurt him in a grappling exchanges. If the cut didn't depelete him his striking and TDD have impressed here.

I doubt he cut much weight for FW, no worries

 

[Deleted member 316645]

Has anyone seen a statement from Lee after missing weight, an interview, anything?

Let me know, at almost my entire bankroll rests on this fight.

 

[Omni1]

Patriotism is pretty awesome but nationalism by definition can lead to exclusion or detriment of the interests of other nations.
Not sure why I am playing semantics probably this virus mess slowingy my work to a stop, still I think the distinction is important.
Getting ready to go slam a Budweiser and blow the can apart with my shotgun to make a bald eagle happy before you fellows start calling me a commie.

Here are the two definitions of Nationalism.
Identification with one's own nation and support for its interests, especially to the exclusion or detriment of the interests of other nations.
Advocacy of or support for the political independence of a particular nation or people.
There is nothing wrong with either definition. Mind boggling how anyone could think otherwise. For those on the far left that have a hatred for patriotism & Nationalism they suffer from a weird type of masochism. And when they project that negative emotion at patriotic people it's sadistic.

 

[Omni1]

So after the last event, since I've been getting fucked over on decisions, stoppages, and just all and all, it's been a bad betting year -- I decided to pull out all of my money via BTC when it was roughly 9.8k on Sunday morning.

I deposited it back in, threw it all on Kevin Lee(aside from 400$ which I'm saving to throw on his ITD prop and Krylov) when it was 9.8k as well.

Now it plummeted. That actually feels really fucking good. If I had waited I would've lost so much money(will lose it all anyways if Lee loses I guess)

I would have strongly advised you not to go all in on Kevin Lee. I'm betting Lee too but that fight could go either way. Good luck to you though. I almost got goose pimples reading your all in play. 10 grand is not chump change. May the force be with you.

 

[Deleted member 316645]

I would have strongly advised you not to go all in on Kevin Lee. I'm betting Lee too but that fight could go either way. Good luck to you though. I almost got goose pimples reading your all in play. 10 grand is not chump change. May the force be with you.

I'm saying I deposited all of my btc when btc was at 9.8k. Not that it's a 9.8k bet.

 

[Gugabe]

Lee sub +700 way better than Lee KO +170 IMO. Would price them both around +350

 

[BTC_ANDERSON_BELFORT]

Lee sub +700 way better than Lee KO +170 IMO. Would price them both around +350

i already posted that the first hour that props came out and it was already bet down. u wont find that price anywhere since a couple days ago. its funny when people try to recycle your ideas as their own lmfao

 

[PuertoRican]

Damn that is a size advantage for sure

Macedo is gonna put Malecki's legs up in the air and smash.

 

[Wiktoruspro]

Macedo is gonna put Malecki's legs up in the air and smash.

This Malecki girl is skillwise probably the worst fighter in the Division, Macedo by sub.
She will be Easy to take down because of height and low skills

 

[Monster Meat]

Oliviera sub is +700 on mgm it’s clearly the wrong line but I’ll take it

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

Oliviera ITD around +200 is ridiculous in general I don't know why anyone would take his ML instead of that.

 

[Sono07]

Here are the two definitions of Nationalism.
Identification with one's own nation and support for its interests, especially to the exclusion or detriment of the interests of other nations.
Advocacy of or support for the political independence of a particular nation or people.
There is nothing wrong with either definition. Mind boggling how anyone could think otherwise. For those on the far left that have a hatred for patriotism & Nationalism they suffer from a weird type of masochism. And when they project that negative emotion at patriotic people it's sadistic.

If I beat this dead horse any longer I'm probably getting an animal cruelty charge.
My issue with the one interpretation over the other is the detriment and exclusion aspect. Just my opinion here but some people use their high level of devotion for one thing/place to excuse detrimental behavior towards others.
Like you said though words can have different interpretations hard to keep up with all the nuanced terms. Time to get back to booking my vacation to
Constantinople.

 

[2020Tracked]

Oliviera ko/tko at 9.50

 

[Rebel_LioN]

Damn I’m stuck with a bunch of pending Bellator bets right now. I guess since they’re “postponing” the event that 5Dimes will not cancel my action and instead wait for an announcement. How lame is that. Anyone else dealing with that?

 

[Sono07]

Has anyone seen a statement from Lee after missing weight, an interview, anything?

Let me know, at almost my entire bankroll rests on this fight.

Haven't seen anything yet but in my opinion Lee looks good.

 

[2020Tracked]

For anyone backing Burns, why is this fight any different than the Masvidal fight, or Lyman Good or Rocco Martin?

I'd agree Bruns is a higher level grappler and has better BJJ than any of those guys, but is he a better striker? Does he have a more well rounded game? Can he stuff a takedown or defend his back better than Masvidal? Is he stronger than Lyman Good?

I just don't see why Burns is the one to do what the others can't. No doubt Maia's striking is bad and he slows down and he's getting older... But all of that was true when he fought everyone else. Maia has went the rounds with the best in the world, didn't always came out on top but he stayed in the fight and stayed dangerous.

What is Burns offering that is new?

 

[null]

Damn I’m stuck with a bunch of pending Bellator bets right now. I guess since they’re “postponing” the event that 5Dimes will not cancel my action and instead wait for an announcement. How lame is that. Anyone else dealing with that?

Hope they cancel them tomorrow.

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

For anyone backing Burns, why is this fight any different than the Masvidal fight, or Lyman Good or Rocco Martin?

I'd agree Bruns is a higher level grappler and has better BJJ than any of those guys, but is he a better striker? Does he have a more well rounded game? Can he stuff a takedown or defend his back better than Masvidal? Is he stronger than Lyman Good?

I just don't see why Burns is the one to do what the others can't. No doubt Maia's striking is bad and he slows down and he's getting older... But all of that was true when he fought everyone else. Maia has went the rounds with the best in the world, didn't always came out on top but he stayed in the fight and stayed dangerous.

What is Burns offering that is new?

I think Burns line is well deserved. Maia was getting lit up on the feet vs Askren of all people, Burns would do him in much worse while it stays standing. He's also pretty much guaranteed to win the 3rd round just based on cardio badly tanking for Maia. There's also the risk that at the old age he's in any fight now he could be a shell of his former self with the wheels falling off. Massive athletic difference. I don't see either fighter submitting each other, so Maia's path of victory is very small. He would have to win the first 2 rounds but he can't out strike Burns so the only option is laying on top of burns on the ground and holding position or something. It's not impossible but it's more unlikely than his odds suggest to me anyways.

 

[2020Tracked]

I think Burns line is well deserved. Maia was getting lit up on the feet vs Askren of all people, Burns would do him in much worse while it stays standing. He's also pretty much guaranteed to win the 3rd round just based on cardio badly tanking for Maia. There's also the risk that at the old age he's in any fight now he could be a shell of his former self with the wheels falling off. Massive athletic difference. I don't see either fighter submitting each other, so Maia's path of victory is very small. He would have to win the first 2 rounds but he can't out strike Burns so the only option is laying on top of burns on the ground and holding position or something. It's not impossible but it's more unlikely than his odds suggest to me anyways.

Maia has fought like 40 fights against people who can light him up on the feet, that's nothing new, he's also fought just as many fights while having cardio issues. I don't see what's changed from his last fight to this one, other than he's slightly older