UFC Fight Night: Smith v Rakic

Just realized that Cutelaba has 2 subs in his entire career... both were omaplatas.. wtf...thats like playing in the NBA and and scoring two three pointers but they were both full court hook shots. Its a finesse technical sub...mostly from gi BJJ. Weird fact of the day
 
matthew55 said:
Shameful is a bit harsh. I'll never understand why people wig out over someone missing weight, especially by a small amount. I can only think that people have been conditioned by Dana White to think that missing weight is the end of the world. It's not cheating. To compesate for missing weight, they give up 30% of their purse, and I believe the other fighter can always back out if they feel they're at a huge disadvantage for someone going overweight by 1 pound (obviously that would hurt they're pay as well). If you wanna say it's unprofessional, I get that. This is also her 3rd fight in 4 months amidst a pandemic and she's never missed before that I'm aware of.
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It literally is cheating lmfao, fuck are you talking about
 
Bill Algeo has the height and reach adg here. I think i might throw a bit for the underdog and whose younger.
Bill Algeo has sub wins as well in his record. Bill could use his reach and height to edge out a win agaisnt Lamas
 
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When has Magny ever executed a kick heavy game plan effectively? His punches are loopy straights and crosses. His takedowns are not great. He's definitely rangey with solid cardio.

Lawler VS RDA was Robbie fuckin his knee(s?) real good, yet hanging in there. Still threw and landed some bombs on RDA. It was a textbook RDA performance though. Also, mma math here totally, but RDA is one of the biggest talents Magny has fought, and RDA smoked em (on the ground, but he couldn't do that to Lawler - maybe there's a connection somewhere in these fights, I don't know).

I think at the odds Robbie is a good play. Lombard was real close to finishing Magny and Lawler could fight similarly. In his heyday, Lawler could execute the same ass whooping that Ponz laid on Magny too.
 
Foghorn Leghorn said:
When has Magny ever executed a kick heavy game plan effectively? His punches are loopy straights and crosses. His takedowns are not great. He's definitely rangey with solid cardio.

Lawler VS RDA was Robbie fuckin his knee(s?) real good, yet hanging in there. Still threw and landed some bombs on RDA. It was a textbook RDA performance though. Also, mma math here totally, but RDA is one of the biggest talents Magny has fought, and RDA smoked em (on the ground, but he couldn't do that to Lawler - maybe there's a connection somewhere in these fights, I don't know).

I think at the odds Robbie is a good play. Lombard was real close to finishing Magny and Lawler could fight similarly. In his heyday, Lawler could execute the same ass whooping that Ponz laid on Magny too.
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Ponzi dismantled him with a jab and leg kick. Lawler dosent use either. On top of that Magny has fixed the leg kick issue and even came back and out calf kicked Martin
 
I should have clarified in the pressure is what I was thinking, more so. Agreed on the jab/kick, he was throwing some bombs too (the eventual KO shot was a punch he missed a bunch too).

Agree with @TrueAscension though, just tryna justify at this point. Excited for the co and main
 
BigSteve said:
Ponzi dismantled him with a jab and leg kick. Lawler dosent use either. On top of that Magny has fixed the leg kick issue and even came back and out calf kicked Martin
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Except for the fact he shattered Rory MacDonald’s nose with one.
 
I always do overs/unders the night before, and some of these are... Surprising

I can totally see how Zak Cummings v Di Chirico could be a decision, but 2.61 for FDNGTD is a bit mad. Cummings is a hardcore sub hunter with an unspectacular chin after all

A Maki Pitolo fight having FDNGTD at + odds is insane to me. The guy goes out there to kill or be killed. His opponent is a decision guy but like... They both fought three weeks ago. I refuse to believe their chins are in good enough condition to expect them both to hold up for three rounds when one guy is constantly in blitz mode, or at least it shouldn't be favoured

U1.5 in Ankalaev v Cutelaba being + odds is odd as well considering Cutelaba will walk forward and throw power shots until one of them drops (and Ankalaev made it pretty clear he's happy to play this game last time they fought)

Disappointed in how low the odds are for Smith v Rakic GTD as well. Should be 3+ minimum. 2.61 just isn't playable
 
Tirimasuperman said:
Alex Caceres has fought surprisingly few wrestlers in his MMA career
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I wanted to chime in on this for a second. I play both Draftkings and FanDuel MMA contests, and often times use the salary structure on both to determine what bets to play on Bovada. I say that to say there's a ton of favorites this card; 7 of which are on average +200 or more with Springer trending in that direction as well. The problem is on Draftkings/Fanduel is that it's impossible to field a lineup with these heavy favorites. That of course sets the stage for trying to figure out who these dogs are.

Back to the point about Caceres. Springer's no Faber, but I have to think his top control game is enough to possibly give Caceres a problem here. I think Caceres has largely struggled with someone who's strong in the clinch / tie up situations. Hooper was too weak to cause a problem for Caceres, but it didn't negate the fact that he was able to stick on to him and try for trips for stretches of time.


That looks to be Springer's game. Also for what it's worth I think after taping Springer that the line may have been off in the Caceres/Chikadze fight some. Not to try and heavily play MMA math here, but is Chikadze that much better than Caceres seing as though he was finished by Springer? Styles make fights, and both Caceres/Chikadze want to stand. I'll concede the argument Chikadze's standup might be better, but it leaves me thinking if that's the case Springer's going to be all over Caceres here.

I'm going to take a stab on Springer, but I'm concerned about the weight miss. I don't see fighters who miss during the pandemic as a plus right now. I see it more them being out of shape.


EDIT: To add to this, I think the line opened up just right, although it's totally out of control right now. I don't think Caceres should be -200 here.

(With that said watch Caceres go out and finish Springer and make a fool of me lol).
 
Tirimasuperman said:
It literally is cheating lmfao, fuck are you talking about
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I didn't realize they allowed cheaters to fight, the fuck outta here..when you get caught cheating, you get disqualified, not penalized, and there's also an intent to cheat..i'd say 99% of fighters go into the weight cut legitimately trying to make it
 
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Broe. said:
Lol they do all the time. Paolo costa lmao. Any brazilian or russian fighter and probably most american fighters are on peds.
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predictably, you're conflating two different things here..steroids is obviously cheating, but in today's ufc they don't allow you to use ped's and then fight, if you get popped, then you're out and get a suspension..they DO however allow you to fight if you miss weight
 
matthew55 said:
predictably, you're conflating two different things here..steroids is obviously cheating, but in today's ufc they don't allow you to use ped's and then fight, if you get popped, then you're out and get a suspension..they DO however allow you to fight if you miss weight
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Just because the sport allows something doesn't mean its not cheating. It is a subjective term obviously. For example you can always dick kick someone and grab the cage a few times before you get a penalty. Doesn't mean you are not a cheater if you consistently do it.
 
3 bucks on cutelaba rd1 and robbie dec prop lol. Good value on those. My only plays tonight with lamas algeo u2.5. Tricky card.
 
Broe. said:
Just because the sport allows something doesn't mean its not cheating. It is a subjective term obviously. For example you can always dick kick someone and grab the cage a few times before you get a penalty. Doesn't mean you are not a cheater if you consistently do it.
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like I said before, there's an intent to cheat..are all these fighters "consistently" missing weight? no, they happen to miss weight..I don't know what Cifers makes per fight but I doubt it's much. My guess is she wasn't going into this fight thinking it's only 30% of what I'm going to make so it's ok to miss weight by ONE pound..I'm done though, not trying to clog up the feed anymore with this shit
 
matthew55 said:
like I said before, there's an intent to cheat..are all these fighters "consistently" missing weight? no, they happen to miss weight..I don't know what Cifers makes per fight but I doubt it's much. My guess is she wasn't going into this fight thinking it's only 30% of what I'm going to make so it's ok to miss weight by ONE pound..I'm done though, not trying to clog up the feed anymore with this shit
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As you should. You’re one of the few people who doesn’t see a problem with it but to actual fighters which I assume you are not it is a big deal. It’s your opinion and you’re entitled to it.
 
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