Kape-Bontorin is a closer one that it looks, Bontorin is good, and the massive red flag for Kape is he tried to compete at this level already and failed.
They had to step him down to facing hit-and-miss prelim warm bodies like Osbourne & Zhalgas to get him a couple of flashy finishes.
But if he's addressed his terrible output issues, Kape could be a completely different proposition for Bontorin than the one that lost to Pantoja.
Kape's about to go on a KKF-type tear, or he's going to get found out once and for all, but I wouldn't say either is a lock.
I'm probably leaning to him winning, but I just can't shake the doubts after he crapped out at this level last time. He just couldn't seem to pull the trigger, and I think that comes down to the level being higher than anything he was used to.