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MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Flip a coin on picking a side. I think these two teams are very evenly matched and NO as a 2.5/3 point favorite is a correct line. However there is something fishy with the total. There is the perception that these two teams are high octane offenses with less than stellar defenses. And it's definitely true. But the total currently sits anywhere from 53 to 54.5 (the sharper books being lower side on that total). If you dig into the previous match ups between these two teams, in the last three years, the point total has only gone over 53 points one time (n=6 games). The point total opened at 52.5 and has been bet up to what it is now (meaning, although this point total is high, the public doesn't mind betting the 'over'). I actually think it'll keep going up as the game approaches because of the perception. But because of that I think we're getting value on the under. It's not a play I can personally 'recommend' because I don't play totals too much outside of live betting, but id probably lean on taking the under at the very last moment prior to kick off
Yep. I think there's some value. You pretty much broke down exactly what I'd say. This total really should be 49.5-50.5. I'm always wary of going too big on an under for a Saints home game as they tend to be shootouts but I think there's a bit of value here as well.
1.5u NO/ATL u54
2-3 in NFL yesterday for me. After going 7-0 week one I've been treading water here.