- Joined
- Feb 8, 2012
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This being Claudia's first five round fight is definitely a big factor here. IMO if you think Claudia wont have too much success taking JJ down, maybe look at the -5.5 line for JJ, its currently at + odds. Claudia's best chance to get a takedown is obviously earlier in the fight so if you have the capability to live bet, that may be another way to get value on JJ as she's more likely to win later rounds. Esparza was much smaller than JJ too so i think JJ's improved TDD might have a bit of an asterisk next to it. IDK im really undecided on this fightStabbed myself at +2000 and +2600 for .25units each. I got on Claudia right before her precipitous drop in odds, but Im really liking JJ at even money. JJs TDD has come a long way since their first fight IMO. As has her experience in 5 rounders and confidence. She should be the favorite here.
edit: Gadelha +5.5 at -240
JJ TKO +400 as a hedge
JJ rd 4 + 5 and stabs are prob my plays. all small.. too unpredictable to bet a decent amount on