I haven't picked who I think will win the fight yet. At the moment, my lean is on Nate, but still, it's just a lean, not a bet.
Regarding the stuff I quoted above, there's a whole lot wrong with it.
1. If you think he'll do what other guys did to Nate in previous fights, then you're expecting him to change his style of fighting by a great deal in just 5 months. Conor can win, but the way he wins won't come from copying Nate's past opponents who beat him, unless you expect him to use wrestling, a ton of leg kicks, and high level cardio all while throwing a lot of punches.
2. His cardio is improved, right? We don't know how improved it is, and you can't actually say for sure that he can go 2 hard rounds without gassing just by watching his 2-minute sparring clips mixed in with non-fighting clips in his MacLife videos, and I seriously hope you don't believe you can get anything from his media workout videos.
Conor's coach mentioned that Conor had the tools to beat Nate, he just lacked the cardio in their first fight. This is a fair and honest comment, and one I believe to hold some truth. I say some truth because Conor was doing well (not amazing) before he gassed after 7 minutes of throwing way more strikes than he usually does, and we don't really know how he would've looked if he made it out of the 2nd round because he has never fought in a 5-round fight against someone who is bigger and longer, and has better cardio and chin than him.
Anyway, this is my last post on this matter. The fight is almost here. I'd recommend only putting 2 units on Conor pre-fight (if you're really confident in him), and live-bet the rest like some other people are doing ITT.