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Rosa will be cut after this fight, Paiva will smoke him. Dont bet Rosa, he has 5% to win.Thoughts on De La Rosa doing good in the boxing? Or do you think Paiva is just too big
That's my biggest concern, he has decent combinations and is willing to eat 1 to land 3.
At current odds I'd be passing on Paiva, but would need closer to +250 to play DLR personally. Despite DLR being a black belt I think it's pretty clear that Paiva is the better MMA grappler. I don't see DLR hitting TDs and actually think he gets reversed trying. Off his back he seems content to play guard.
I see DLR as the worst FLW on the roster. He's unathletic, flat footed, lacks the wrestling to get his mediocre BJJ game going, and is often forced to rely on volume boxing to win a decision. Both guys are fighting for their job, both are hella durable, and both love to come forward, it's gonna be fun.
Got around to watching tape on new guy Daniel Rodriguez, he’s actually a pretty good fighter with good hands. He’s not that fast but he knows how to fundamentally box. Has a clean 1-2 and moves his head decently well. He has his eyes wide open in the pocket and isn’t afraid to exchange. Has good power with both hands.
I think he’s going to bring it in his debut. My pick is still Tim Means however. I think Means just outworks him and throws more volume at him. Possible late finish as Means tends to brings a solid pace in later rounds. I’d be interested to see who takes the back step here, I’d think that Means would be leading the dance but if Rod does that then there’s a chance he could look good. To be fair though I didn’t watch his Dana White fight just most of his YouTube stuff.
I’m looking at the over as well.
Either way, Rodriguez looks like he belongs. Probably in the 20-30 tier at 170. But WW is deep though so maybe more towards the 30 ranks.
Only dog, Means is nothing special like Morono.Dog or pass at the current price?
Just a guess off past performances.Who are the gassers on this card? I wasn’t aware at first that this fight was going to be at Elevation.
Jan might do better than you think in terms of gas, he just fought Jacare in a 5 rounder and I believe he does train with Phil Davis for wrestling.Just a guess off past performances.
Lando, Jan, Pereira (his style at least burns alot of energy). Curious to see what elevation everyone (those 3 especially) have been training at.
Dog or pass at the current price?
Don't you think at boxing range he will get picked apart by the bigger longer man? I know it dosen't always mater but Paiva actually does fight very long, on top of having an insane chin. He was picking Kai appart and cut Bontorin with a lead counter hook. DLR has no head movement despite the good chin and boxing.
DLR doesn't move his head but he keeps his hands up, nice high guard. Paiva often fights with his hands low and perhaps feels more confident. I don' t like it when people keep their hands low unless they have the skills to pay the bills.
I watched tape on both guys and I think the fight is pretty close overall. Both guys have good jits and are similar in size and reach from what I saw. I think Paiva is probably a bit better in the boxing and scrambles. Paiva probably has an edge in the grappling when still standing.
I am not making a huge bet but happy to play the dog in what I think will be a pretty close back and forth fight.
That was a sloth paced fight vs jacare. Now in elevation he has to deal with a high volume fighter with constant takedowns and cage work. Jan is so f'd if he doesn't get an early ko.Jan might do better than you think in terms of gas, he just fought Jacare in a 5 rounder and I believe he does train with Phil Davis for wrestling.
wasn't it a real grueling match with under/over hooks against the cage? I think value is on Jan here. Corey has better wrestling but they're both going to be affected by elevation. Jan might just survive long enough to pull an upset decision.That was a sloth paced fight vs jacare. Now in elevation he has to deal with a high volume fighter with constant takedowns and cage work. Jan is so f'd if he doesn't get an early ko.
wasn't it a real grueling match with under/over hooks against the cage? I think value is on Jan here. Corey has better wrestling but they're both going to be affected by elevation. Jan might just survive long enough to pull an upset decision.
wasn't it a real grueling match with under/over hooks against the cage? I think value is on Jan here. Corey has better wrestling but they're both going to be affected by elevation. Jan might just survive long enough to pull an upset decision.
Got around to watching tape on new guy Daniel Rodriguez, he’s actually a pretty good fighter with good hands. He’s not that fast but he knows how to fundamentally box. Has a clean 1-2 and moves his head decently well. He has his eyes wide open in the pocket and isn’t afraid to exchange. Has good power with both hands.
I think he’s going to bring it in his debut. My pick is still Tim Means however. I think Means just outworks him and throws more volume at him. Possible late finish as Means tends to brings a solid pace in later rounds. I’d be interested to see who takes the back step here, I’d think that Means would be leading the dance but if Rod does that then there’s a chance he could look good. To be fair though I didn’t watch his Dana White fight just most of his YouTube stuff.
I’m looking at the over as well.
Either way, Rodriguez looks like he belongs. Probably in the 20-30 tier at 170. But WW is deep though so maybe more towards the 30 ranks.