UFC on ESPN 3 Jacare vs Hermansson Official Bets

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Amazing performance by Jack Hermansson that surprised a lot of people and also that it went the distance. Other than Andrei Arlovski who got outright robbed by the judges, I have to blame myself for going big on several fighters that all were in tough fights that went against them and me from Court McGee, to John Lineker to Ion Cutelaba to Alex Oliveira to Jacaré himself in the main event. Chasing on Oliveira & Cutelaba didn't help either leading to a big 50.8 unit loss.

UFN 150 on ESPN+ 8 Results Risk $6,786.62

Ronaldo Souza (-182) vs Jack Hermansson $455.00 for $250.00= -$455.00
Ronaldo Souza (-184) vs Jack Hermansson $184.00 for $100.00= -$184.00
Ronaldo Souza (-185) vs Jack Hermansson $462.50 for $250.00= -$462.50
Ronlado Souza (-185) vs Jack Hermansson $370.00 for $200.00= -$370.00
Ronaldo Souza (-192) vs Jack Hermansson $384.62 for $200.00= -$384.62
Ronaldo Souza wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+350) $35.00 for $122.50= -$35.00
Ronaldo Souza wins in round 1 (+225) $25.00 for $56.25= -$25.00
Ronaldo Souza wins in round 2 (+300) $30.00 for $90.00= -$30.00
Ronaldo Souza/Jack Hermansson won’t start round 4 (-359) $359.00 for $100.00= -$359.00

Greg Hardy -3½ points (-285) vs Dmitry Smoliakov $285.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Greg Hardy wins in round 1 (+100) $75.00 for $75.00= $75.00
Greg Hardy wins in round 1 (+115) ~$26.50 for ~$30.48= ~$30.48
Dmitry Smoliakov wins in round 2 (+1100) $20.00 for $220.00= -$20.00
Dmitry Smoliakov wins in round 3 (+1750) $20.00 for $350.00= -$20.00
Greg Hardy/Dmitry Smoliakov Under 1½ (-210) $210.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Greg Hardy/Dmitry Smoliakov fight ends in first 60 seconds of round 1 (+950) ~$26.50 for ~$251.75= -~$26.50

Alex Oliveira (-156) vs Mike Perry $312.50 for $200.00= -$312.50
Alex Oliveira (-159) vs Mike Perry $397.50 for $250.00= -$397.50
Alex Oliveira (-159) vs Mike Perry $159.00 for $100.00= -$159.00
Alex Oliveira (-160) vs Mike Perry $320.00 for $200.00= -$320.00
Alex Oliveira wins by submission (+195) $75.00 for $146.25= -$75.00
Alex Oliveira wins in round 2 (+475) $25.00 for $118.75= -$25.00
Alex Oliveira wins in round 3 (+1000) $15.00 for $150.00= -$15.00
Alex Oliveira/Mike Perry Over 1½ (-105) $105.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Ion Cutelaba (+107) vs Glover Teixeira $100.00 for $107.00= -$100.00
Ion Cutelaba (+105) vs Glover Teixeira $100.00 for $105.00= -$100.00
Ion Cutelaba (+105) vs Glover Teixeira $200.00 for $210.00= -$200.00
Glover Teixeira wins by TKO/KO (+775) $30.00 for $232.50= -$30.00

John Lineker (-130) vs Cory Sandhagen $325.00 for $250.00= -$325.00
John Lineker (-140) vs Cory Sandhagen $280.00 for $200.00= -$280.00
John Lineker wins by TKO/KO (+240) $50.00 for $120.00= -$50.00
John Lineker wins in round 3 (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00= -$10.00

Roosevelt Roberts/Thomas Gifford Under 1½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00= -$120.00

Takashi Sato/Ben Saunders Under 1½ (-117) $117.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Andrei Arlovski (+130) vs Augusto Sakai $100.00 for $130.00= -$100.00
Andrei Arlovski wins by decision or technical decision (+210) $50.00 for $105.00= -$50.00

Carla Esparza (+107) vs Virna Jandiroba $100.00 for $107.00= $107.00
Carla Esparza (+105) vs Virna Jandiroba $100.00 for $105.00= $105.00

Gilbert Burns/Mike Davis Over 1½ (-127) $63.50 for $50.00= $50.00

Jason Gonzalez (+125) vs Jim Miller $100.00 for $125.00= -$100.00
Jason Gonzalez/Jim Miller Over 1½ (-136) $136.00 for $100.00= -$136.00

Angela Hill/Jodie Esquibel goes 3 round distance (-425) $170.00 for $40.00= $40.00

Court McGee (-150) vs Dhiego Lima $300.00 for $200.00= -$300.00
Court McGee (-171) vs Dhiego Lima $342.00 for $200.00= -$342.00
Court McGee wins by 3 round decision (+130) $75.00 for $97.50= -$75.00

Parlay:
Angela Hill (-535) vs Jodie Esquibel + Roosevelt Roberts (-431) vs Thomas Gifford $220.00 for $101.71= $101.71
-----

Sub-Total= -$5,088.41
Sub-Total= ~$3.98

Total Loss= -$5,084.43

 

[Johnny Bones Jones]

Had a pretty good run from UFC fight night 146 to UFC Fight Night 149 of staying black on my bets per card until this one.

Court McGee by Points (Prop) +130 at 1u
Jodie Esquibel by Points (Prop) +850 at 1u
Carla Esparza +104 2.5u
Augusto Sakai -148 2.5u
Ben Saunders +184 1u
John Lineker -154 1.25u
Ion Cutelaba +100 1u
Alex Oliveira by Submission or Points (Prop) -105 1.25u
Dmitrii Smolyakov +270 1u

Result = -3u
Analysis = looking back at some of these dog bets, I should have avoided the bet on Dimitrii and Ben Saunders, taking a chance on Jodie was worth it considering the inconsistency of Hill's performances, Surprised by Perry's performance after his weigh-in where he looked wobbly, Cutelaba looked like he was gonna take glover's head off in RD1 until he ran out of steam in RD2 and got submitted.

Thanks to esparza and the split call for Sakai, I mitigated my overall loss for this fight card but need to do more fight tape and less wiki/sherdog capping, on to Fight Night 150!

 

[burge13]

3 bets, 3 losses. Awful card

Cutelaba landed a few shots but wilted, havent seen the McGee fight but from all accounts that was a bad bet and Jacare thinks he's a boxer.

 

[chemmy]

Esparza risk 1 unit to win 1.05 units
Lineker risk 1.35 to win 1 unit
Gonzalez risk 1 unit to win 1.37 units
Sakai risk 1.41 units to win 1 unit
Hill 5.3 units to win 2 units

+1.70 units. Got lucky with the Sakai robbery. On to next week.

 

[mposhtkouhi]

here are my picks sorry for late post all EASY MONEY BETS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Lima-Dec(+142)-WIn got it at +121
Esquibel-Dec(+415) Loss got her at +405
Gonzales-Sub2(+115) Loss got him +104
Burns-Wins by Dec(+385)
Jandiroba-Wins by dec(+200)
Sakai-Wins by KO(+211)
Sato- Wins in rd 2(+425)
Roberts-Wins by sub(+102)
Lineker-Wins by dec(+215)
Texeria-Wins by KO(+525)
Oliveria-Wins by Sub(+185)
Hardy Smolkiaov- NO Bet I like Hardy KO rd 1 though
Souza-Wins by sub(+125)

Lock them in now All easy money BETS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I also like these event props not really Like lol but good odds for little money high payout 25$ on each!!!!!!!! 1 IS BOUND TO HIT THATS ALL I NEED
1- Fight ends in KO +3475
2- Fights end in KO+1079
8- Fights end in KO +2185
Realistically I see 4 fights ending in KO not great odds

0- Fights end in sub+3300(LOSS)
6- Fights end in Sub+1375
7- Fights end in Sub+3925
Realistically I see 4 fights ending in Sub

1- Fight goes to a Dec+8175(LOSS)
2- fights goes to a dec+1783
8- Fights goes to a dec+1400
Realistically I see 5 fights going to a dec




RISKED 875$ I WON 17.75$ SO ALL THESE PEOPLE WHO TALK SHIT MOST LOST THIS EVENT BUT I WON

 

[SBJJ]

Homer. You lost every bet but 2

 

[Red_2]

here are my picks sorry for late post all EASY MONEY BETS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Lima-Dec(+142)-WIn got it at +121
Esquibel-Dec(+415) Loss got her at +405
Gonzales-Sub2(+115) Loss got him +104
Burns-Wins by Dec(+385)
Jandiroba-Wins by dec(+200)
Sakai-Wins by KO(+211)
Sato- Wins in rd 2(+425)
Roberts-Wins by sub(+102)
Lineker-Wins by dec(+215)
Texeria-Wins by KO(+525)
Oliveria-Wins by Sub(+185)
Hardy Smolkiaov- NO Bet I like Hardy KO rd 1 though
Souza-Wins by sub(+125)

Lock them in now All easy money BETS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I also like these event props not really Like lol but good odds for little money high payout 25$ on each!!!!!!!! 1 IS BOUND TO HIT THATS ALL I NEED
1- Fight ends in KO +3475
2- Fights end in KO+1079
8- Fights end in KO +2185
Realistically I see 4 fights ending in KO not great odds

0- Fights end in sub+3300(LOSS)
6- Fights end in Sub+1375
7- Fights end in Sub+3925
Realistically I see 4 fights ending in Sub

1- Fight goes to a Dec+8175(LOSS)
2- fights goes to a dec+1783
8- Fights goes to a dec+1400
Realistically I see 5 fights going to a dec




RISKED 875$ I WON 17.75$ SO ALL THESE PEOPLE WHO TALK SHIT MOST LOST THIS EVENT BUT I WON

Awful.

 

[mposhtkouhi]

Awful.

lol I still won money!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Monster Meat]

$50/$380.50
Utah +3 win
Denver -245 win
San Jose -112 win
Ion Cutelaba -143

$256/$200
Golden state -550
Esquibel/hill starts round 3
Esparza/Jandiroba round 3

+$150 should have been much more if ion wouldn’t have shit the bed