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Cmon cause I consider it potential? This isn't sports jiu jitsu, and we've been over examples of the BEST sport JJ people having struggles adapting that to MMAJoe..."potential jiu jitsu advantage"? C'mon.
I understand thinking it's a bad bet to play Gall as a favorite. I like him to win and even I'm extremely hesitant to pull the trigger. But don't be ridiculous. It's not a "potential" grappling edge. It's an obvious bjj advantage that's undeniable. Whether he gets to use it is for sure up for debate. Whether it's there isn't.
Aren't drastic improvements something to consider with a 20 or 21 year old uber athletic prospect who has had tough fights to learn from though? Especially when under these circumstances it's not like his opponent has more MMA knowledge.Unless Sage has made drastic improvements and changed his style completely, he won't look to hold position on takedowns. He's very loose and aggressive.
I think it's pretty easy to make an argument that it's more irrational to bet a guy that has shown several holes in his game, particularly in an area where his opponent excels, and go on hope that he's a "prospect" and improving (although we aren't seeing improvements from fight to fight as it is).
I agree with Vkram though. It's not a fight where I think anyone should go heavy.
It's irrational to bet the guy with wins over legit fighters and a round won vs Barberana as a dog rather than a favorite who has NO real MMA experience? Yeah ok might wanna think a little harder about that one