D
Numbers dont fightAdded this. Should've donated to a dog shelter.
I think both of the favorites win, but the odds are WAY too far off.
View attachment 828125
Numbers dont fight
When the implied probability of a fighter winning is much higher than the betting odds indicate, it's a +EV play over time.
You know more about losing bets than winning, though.
Even if I lose these 2 bets, which the odds indicate I will, it doesn't scratch my bankroll.
Could've saved a dog's life though, right?
W8im drunk and meant the guy with breaking bad as his profile lol@Sadistics I’m new to betting and posting this year, but following you into bets has made my 2020, just wanna say thanks man. Following your lead. Cheers!
who da fuc was crewman again, rings a bell
Oh wow,
I'm sure
I know these guys voluntarily left, but does anyone still talk to EZFlyer or WannaBet?
Yeah I miss EZ. Haven't talked to him in years. Same w/ Goodfella. Somebody tell em I said hi if you see them for me..
Yeah man the old days are fun to reminisce about. A lot of guys aren't around anymore but to those of us who remember when @Oblivian was making threads for each card back in the heavies and random idiots would come in and complain about how much he bet or criticize who/what he was betting on. They would complain about him using roi or whatever. A buncha nerds I tell ya. Now we have our own forum or subforum, whatever but it was way different and kind of more fun back when we used to have no home, so to speak.I just wanted to participate in the nostalgia circle jerk real quick. Can't believe Crewman and Wannabet with the gimp mask got brought up. Really hilarious stuff - WB was a dentist if i don't remember wrong?
Barry is back.. hopefully, I can finally get profitable again tailing this absolute alpha. Happy days!
I still occasionally talk to Goodfellas and I'm steam friends with Ez, though long time since I talked to him though, happy to hear he's still betting. Too bad he left the thread, he's a sweetheart.
Yeah man the old days are fun to reminisce about. A lot of guys aren't around anymore but to those of us who remember when @Oblivian was making threads for each card back in the heavies and random idiots would come in and complain about how much he bet or criticize who/what he was betting on. They would complain about him using roi or whatever. A buncha nerds I tell ya. Now we have our own forum or subforum, whatever but it was way different and kind of more fun back when we used to have no home, so to speak.
Oblivian really started this shit and there was only a handful of us at the beginning. Now that I think of it I probably wasn't even part of the first group of regs. But I remember you and @EndlessCritic who may or may not have been under a different name back then. EZ and guys like Goodfella and WannaBet etc. Goodfella is a legend but I think he got ran off a few years ago or some shit.
WB was apparently a Dr. but I always thought he was a bit younger than he let on. I figured he was in med school or something but I have no idea. The gimp mask vids were funny af man. He was a good dude, he would beef w/ Luca Fury and that shit was hilarious. Luca got fucking eviscerated on here back in the day too, I think they really buried him in the ot one time, they flamed the shit outta him down there lol.
WB also won a betting contest and was on the mma hour w/ Ariel, he made us proud for repping the threads. That was pretty dope.
@MidgardSerpent good to see you posting the other day. @Arellione (sp?), can't remember his exact name, that dude was an og too. So many names I can't remember them all. @mkess101 is one of the mensch's I always enjoyed talking betting and shooting random shit w/ as well as yourself.
Shout out to @barrygood1 he's still hanging around which is fun b/c I remember when he first came on he wasn't a troll at all, he was fully degening out the first time he came around. I still remember I told him to buy a bullet and rent a gun b/c I stole that line from a movie. Seemed like Ole Barry was contemplating throwing himself off a bridge but he came back and made himself the notorious Barry the Cooler troll we all know and love to hate. Legendary character.
@Oblivian do you remember the very first regs you had in your threads? I feel like I was far from the first wave but I still was here relatively early compared to most.
So many names escape me now tho, shit was a blur. Really fun tho. Hope all you Old Heads are doing well. I spent a good chunk of my 20's drunk posting on here and betting like a savage. We had a lot of good times. NEVER FORGET haha.
Rewatched the fight twice. Poirier didn’t look that good tbh, but stayed very composed when Conor was tagging him throughout the two rounds.
Appears to me that gameplan was to avoid rushing in, stay in range, do damage with legkicks and allow openings to present themself - basically pacing.
The finish almost looked comically easy, Dustin just said fuck it, I’m switching gears, and melted ol Conor in a flash.
Rip The Notorious
Agree w all that. I was big on Conor ITD -140 but I love him and can’t cap him objectively. He’s one of my favorite fighters only bc I think he’s been so so good for the sport. That matchup was as good as it gets for him at the top tier of LW. Kills me to say it but he’s probably done in terms of being relevant in championship discussion at any weight. Great run though. Rip McGoat.I may take some shit for this, but I honestly don't think Conor has a very good chin or recovery. Once Poirier caught him which then put Conor against the fence, he was pretty much done and just hanging on. We saw how Diaz rocked him in the first fight too, and honestly, I think if Diaz threw harder in the 2nd fight when he had him against the fence he could have finished. I just don't think Conor has good durability which doesn't really bode well for him not managing energy well. He's just so potent early though.
I may take some shit for this, but I honestly don't think Conor has a very good chin or recovery. Once Poirier caught him which then put Conor against the fence, he was pretty much done and just hanging on. We saw how Diaz rocked him in the first fight too, and honestly, I think if Diaz threw harder in the 2nd fight when he had him against the fence he could have finished. I just don't think Conor has good durability which doesn't really bode well for him not managing energy well. He's just so potent early though.
Thoughts on Poirier-Oliveira and Poirier Chandler?
Value in Chandler +170?