- Joined
- Jul 14, 2018
- Messages
- 4,810
- Reaction score
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3.5u on McGee ML at average of -150
3.7u on Sakai ML at -140
1.3u on Sakai by decision at +242
3.2u on Cutelaba at average of -114
If McGee hits, I am putting most of the profits into a certain play...
Edit-
McGee misses, but I'm putting another 1.5u on Sakai ML, even at -155.
In live-betting, I put
0.7u on Esparza at -140 after round 2 (cashed, for the 0.5u profit)
3u on Arlovski at -180 after round 2 (sure he had won the first two, and wanted to hedge what I thought would be a huge loss)
0.5u on Hermansson at +180 after round 3 (cashed for the 0.9 profit)
After a crazy up-and-down night with McGee and Cutelaba disappointing, and Sakai winning the robbery, I end up -1.4u.
Don't mind the McGee bet (he looked like half the fighter he was in the victory against Garcia, with completely shot reactions and speed, and completely forgetting how to wrestle, and still ALMOST won) or the loss on the Moldovan Madman, who nearly had Teixeira finished multiple times in round 2 only to show far more impressively awful cardio in 2019 than he ever did back in 2016.
The Sakai bet? I thought I had a read that Arlovski's reactions were completely shot, and maybe they were, but he executed the perfect gameplan while Sakai thought like an absolute retard, including his imbecilic southpaw stance in round 1 and a lack of kicks, his bread-and-butter. Happens a lot between old veterans and younger fighters. Maybe I should have gone slightly lighter, but on the flipside, when you have a powerful read, you have to gofr it.
Think I'm really starting to get the hang of live-betting though, and might start betting a little more heavily in good spots.
On to next week!