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Agree. I think the Condit/Jackson strategy will be (assuming Condit is taken down early in the fight) to close guard and work short elbows and punches from there. Don't try to create space, don't try to sweep. Maia is just too good at taking that real estate inch by inch. If Condit is content to make Maia work to just hold him down he should be fresher heading into rd 3.
Maia in a 3 round fight is such a beast because when he takes guys down, they panic. They know it's only 3 rounds and they can't afford to spend a round on their back. So they try to create space or cause a scramble and Maia inevitably takes their back and then they are in a far worse spot. With this being 5 rounds, Condit has the luxury of holding Maia in his guard for 5-10 minutes without feeling he's just given the fight away. He won't need to panic and lose position.
At least that's how I see it.
spot on exactly how i see it too.. also Condit is one of if not the most experienced fighter in the ufc and besides Gunnar, Condit has the best ground game of Maia's past opponents
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