Definitely a questionable opener, but seeing as they place micro-sized limits on them, a few $50 dollar bets can flip those lines in a hurry. Basically, the lines are tossed out there but then pretty much set themselves after a little bit of money starts to come in. In this case, I doubt the...
Nicely done. It’s so important to keep detailed records and stay honest and objective about what’s driving your success and what is contributing to leakage that needs to be tightened up. Congrats and GL in 2021.
lol... I had Alvarado by decision at that same line (+450) and he was leading by a point on all 3 scorecards heading into the last round but still managed to lose by 1 point.
Max is durable as hell. I like Kattar’s style but wouldn’t put much faith in him being the first to finish Holloway with strikes. I expect this to hit the cards.
He is stupidly short for the division, but have you seen his body type? No way in hell he’d ever be able to cut to 155lbs and it’s not laziness that’s stopping him.
To be honest, the +110 and -235 lines are so far apart (<48% vs >70% represented probability) that despite it being the same fighter, it’s not even remotely the same bet. There are plenty of spots where I would go big on a plus money play but pass on the same fighter as over a 2:1 favorite.
Hermansson risk 1.5 units to win 2.25
Jackson risk 1 unit to win 1.99
OSP risk 1 unit to win 2.38
O1.5 OSP/Hill risk 0.79 units to win 0.5
Dolidze risk 1.61 units to win 1
Smolka risk 1.31 units to win 1
Decent night, but I knew better than to lay chalk on Sanders yet did it anyway. The guy just can’t help himself. No regrets playing AES. She was absolutely horrible tonight, embarrassing almost, but @ plus money I was comfortable taking a shot against the unknown.
AES risk 1 unit to win 1.08 units
Sanders risk 1.14 units to win 1 unit
Smith risk 2.52 units to win 2 units
Baeza risk 2.96 units to win 1 unit
Mazany risk 1.39 to win 1 unit
U2.5 Mazany risk 0.5 units to win 0.93 units
U2.5 Madaerji risk 1.31 to win 1 unit
I don’t disagree with that, but my concern for Algeo is that even if your Carlyle assessment is 100% right and he gasses out after 8-9 minutes, he may already be about to go up 20-18 on the scorecards, meaning Algeo could need a late finish or 10-8 round 3 just to manage a draw. This fight...
Most people disagreed with me, but I honestly felt like Lipski could hang with Antonina on the feet, despite her striking pedigree. I actually still do, to be honest. Makes no difference though, Antonina was smart to take the fight to where Lipski is useless.
Turned some profit but terrible bet on Cosce + the under 1.5 given how unproven he was. That being said, Palatnikov is a tough prick. Impressive performance by him. Chookagian was golden.
Such a great fight. Oliveira has really upped his game lately. A few years back I wouldn’t have expected this to be too competitive but this should be a very close fight. If it were scheduled for 5 rounds I’d expect Ferg to break him late but I’m not confident he can do that in 15 minutes...
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