- Joined
- Apr 7, 2016
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- 2,452
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- 28
Agreed. I wanna walk it all back. Good thing it doesn’t really matter thoI feel like maybe ur over quantifying this
Agreed. I wanna walk it all back. Good thing it doesn’t really matter thoI feel like maybe ur over quantifying this
where do you get under 1 minute for hardy? That's real value considering he's one 5/7 fights in under 1 minute. Maybe he's more cautious about gassing out but I don't think so against this opponent.
you being a similar size to lineker has nothing to do with this fight lol. He is a pro fighter and 7-1 in last 8 only loss to dillashaw.A lot of discussion about Sandhagen - Lineker fight, many have Lineker as a winner, it will be very interesting from a technical standpoint. I will watch this fight over and over to learn. I can tell from experience that the style of Sandhagen will probably be very hard for Lineker. I am built as Lineker and usually angle off before my counters or combinations. This is actually pretty easy if, please read again, if the opponent has a low output. Sandhagen throws and lands 8.89 sig.strikes/min, this means that in order for Lineker to win on points he probably have too get Sandhagens respect with firepower, this can absolutely happen and happens a lot but Sandhagen feels like an animal and you can really see in his balance and distance that he is a good striker. A lot of times you angle of and counter the taller striker very nice and it looks great, but then you get taged by a 1-2 down the pipe or a knee in the middle. Of course Lineker kan keep the pressure and win by octagoncontrol or stoppade, but I would favor him a lot more if he mixed in some takedowns when the opponent throws those extra punches after Lineker thinks the exchange is "done" and looking to reset. Just a point to maybe think about if you going big on Lineker. Sorry for my bad english, this took about 30 min to write and probably has errors everywhere, but this is a great way to learn. If anyone here are interested to go very very deep in a technical standpoint on this or another fight, feel free to send a PM or if you're a experienced striker I would love to read you're thoughts on this fight, but maybe in PM so we don't go to deep in this thread.
Myself included. But the pressure is still all on jacare. Jack is in the win-null situation.
you being a similar size to lineker has nothing to do with this fight lol. He is a pro fighter and 7-1 in last 8 only loss to dillashaw.
Pull your money and go to Bookmaker or somewhere e
Wrong. This fight means everything to Jack. This is the fight that tells him if he belongs with the elite of the division. It's a question that is finally going to be answered to him & everyone who is watching. I can't say it enough. This fight means everything to Jack.
Meaningless gut takes from weigh-ins:
-He may well dive head first into the alligator's mouth, he may well get smoked, but this fight means everything to Jack and this fight means very little to Jacare. We'll see....
Thought Gonzalez looked pretty durable taking absolute haymakers from GG. And he gave as good as he got in there too. Fight feels a little coin-flippy so going between 1-2u on the dog is a decent play. I also couldn't resist Gonzalez by sub at +1092, which is sitting at +805 now.Still have no idea how to play the Miller fight... I considered Gonzalez but he looks to have some real durability issues. Anyone want to clue me in?
Thought Gonzalez looked pretty durable taking absolute haymakers from GG. And he gave as good as he got in there too. Fight feels a little coin-flippy so going between 1-2u on the dog is a decent play. I also couldn't resist Gonzalez by sub at +1092, which is sitting at +805 now.
You think Gifford survives 3 rounds? Roberts by decision @+333 seems nice.Alright im back with concrete plays.
Played Jacare and Hardy before the odds dropped, happy with that.
Second play is Lineker and Roberts. There is a bit of a 50/50 feeling about the Lineker fight, but Im trusting my gut feeling and tape.
Gifford has holes everywhere.
Mcgee v Lima, Hill, and Esparza fights all go the distance is third play.
Rest I will live bet. Like small bets on Gonzales, Arlovski fight going the distance has value. Cutelaba fight is now a hard pass.
Still have no idea how to play the Miller fight... I considered Gonzalez but he looks to have some real durability issues. Anyone want to clue me in?
I’m a big fan of Jim Miller, but I’ve got Gonzalez too. I think Miller has a legit shot early on, but if he doesn’t get that finish I expect Gonzalez’ size to wear him down on the way to finding a finish of his own.
I'm a huge fan of Miller too. For a long time. A REALLY long time. In other words, there is not much tread left on his tires.
Betting guys with this amount of mileage? Okay, maybe. In the right situation. Paying juice on him? Hell no.
I hope Miller wins but I cannot imagine betting him as a favorite here. Gonzalez is no world beater but he's not garbage either.