0.8u - Darko Stosic @-138
0.5u - Matt Schnell @+140
0.4u - Mickey Gall @+110
0.3u - Pudilova @+150
0.35u - Miranda Granger @+162
Edit: changed a bunch of my bets for this card.
Hey Macpherson 911, good question. First sports betting is not the same as the stock market, but some ideas concepts and a lot the theory are pretty much the same. So defining the price of a stock, the process is pretty much the same as defining the price of a fighter the only thing that changes...
Added a few stupid bets like 0.4 John Allan, 1.2u on Liu, and 0.6u on Livinha and few other props that hit (Emmett ITD, Randamie Round 1 and etc.) and didn’t (Faber dec, Cezar Ferreira dec and etc.) Nice card up +8.5u after all the props etc, good to change a bit the momentum had a horrible card...
Vivi is pretty good overall what I think is Davis can outvolume her to a close decision. Like I said I think Vivi wins this ITD, but I see value on Davis ML @+240 bc this will be a very very close fight. Anyway good luck mate, if vivi does win hope she wins ITD bc I will cash that, otherwise...
Alexis Davis @+240 is absolutely crazy. Like I told you guys on the rio card I know Vivi Araujo personally and trained with her for many years, she has everything to be one of the best of the division in the future but this is her biggest test, people are exaggerating a lot the result she got...
Agreed, I will pass Elkins/ Hall. But about Emmett, I think he’s more dangerous on the feet and like you said will have the necessary openings to land his heavy hands. And about wrestling I think it cancels itself out. So Emmett @+140 is quite good, I have that only for 0.8u, bc I am adding to...
I would cap Karl -220 to -300. Tough to pinpoint exactly, I personally got Karl @-125 and have that for 2u and a parlay with Randamie @+140 for 1.5u. the spots I got in this card I like them a lot.
2u Germaine de Randamie @+140
2u Karl Roberson @-125
0.8u Beneil Dariush @-137
1.5u Randamie + Roberson
0.8u josh emmet @+140
Edit: cancelled my livinha Souza bet, waiting for the line movement to provide a much better price on her.
Agreed. It’s possible, but I think is just the market fading old fighters with a lot of losses in recent fights. I think allen is pretty mediocre, he had a really tough fight with Amirkhani, and got manhandled by Mads Burnel before pulling that miracle sub on the third round. Melendez is tough...
I like Melendez as huge underdog, and I like Perez @+200 those lines IMO are way to wide, I like Marshman @+500 if it hits that much. Edmen is the rightfully big favorite, but shouldn't be that wide. This is a good card for picking spots of small sizing capitalizing on the good value of crazy...
Exactly. If you’re a human and you saw the odds on the market you are 100% capping fights differently than you would in a vacuum, you are much more likely to find value where it doesn’t exist, or lose value relying on how the market opened/moved.
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