UFC Sao Paulo: Curtis Blaydes vs Jailton Almeida, Brazil, November 4

BigSteve said:
She has in matchups where she has been robbed, usually against tougher opposition. She won a clear 30-27 against Ducote and 29-28 against Lupi which were step-down. I think this is a step down too. Tecia is a kicker, and she beat Hill because the speed difference is crazy. Gomes is a plodder.

Im not faulting anyone on Gomes now that line has closed up. Hill at plus money was a no brainer
Click to expand...
depends on what you mean by tough. Gomez is not proven yet but she definitely is a tough obstacle, she has grit, she's been knocked down twice before in a fight and came back to win it later by ko, she also has decent power for a female fighter by stopping girls with only hands. Hill is a good fighter some nights but then she can be very average other nights. She is a female version of Uriah Hall.

She always is good for a dog play, at evens tho i like the younger prospect with power and drive. Angela is pushing 39 in January.

i can see the upset but at 125+ i think it's now the right price. I have it 60/40 for Denise. Her leveling two strikers in her last two fights is more impressive to me.
 
Papi said:
@mkess101 any PP you like this week?
Click to expand...

Not a great week for PP imo. I paired up some of the Tuesday tacos with Brener over 62.5 sig strikes, but of course that fight got cancelled so those are voided.

I paired a couple with I. Bonfim under 106.5 fantasy score, I kinda like that line. I think he wins, but good chance it goes to the cards and I doubt he can cover that big a score without a first round KO. Vinc won't try to wrestle so no points for TDD for Bonfim. He likely won't hit TD's, it should be a striking match and I see him being under this score way more often than not.

I'm waiting on full lines from Underdog since I play there too. They have a lot up, but not their fantasy score lines. There are a few I'm eyeing on that site.
 
Jae Gibbz said:
Kinda unrelated, but I don't want to start a new thread about it. BOL has a vip program now. Pretty neat. I'm Diamond II
Click to expand...
Check your Bol accounts. I got free $500 cash for being diamond level
 
Gold gets you $25.00. I'll take it. I wish they'd explain what it's based on, and how close you are to the next level. This must be costing them a fortune.

On topic, I don't like much on this card, so I'm going to stay disciplined and not force bets.
 
B.Goetz said:
Gold gets you $25.00. I'll take it. I wish they'd explain what it's based on, and how close you are to the next level. This must be costing them a fortune.

On topic, I don't like much on this card, so I'm going to stay disciplined and not force bets.
Click to expand...
Probably based on wager amounts. It does show how close you are to next level, however

It's probably a marketing ploy to make more $ by incentivized people to wager more. I agree, though. They probably kicked out a ton of $ today.

I have a buddy who had a bad casino gambling problem on there and stopped gambling a month ago. I told him to log on to check. He was diamond 1 and had $500 in there. He withdrew it immediately lol
 
Stat_Collector said:
depends on what you mean by tough. Gomez is not proven yet but she definitely is a tough obstacle, she has grit, she's been knocked down twice before in a fight and came back to win it later by ko, she also has decent power for a female fighter by stopping girls with only hands. Hill is a good fighter some nights but then she can be very average other nights. She is a female version of Uriah Hall.

She always is good for a dog play, at evens tho i like the younger prospect with power and drive. Angela is pushing 39 in January.

i can see the upset but at 125+ i think it's now the right price. I have it 60/40 for Denise. Her leveling two strikers in her last two fights is more impressive to me.
Click to expand...
By tough I mean higher lvl. Step down for Hill step up for Gomes. Why does it mater if she beat 'strikers' ? Its an MMA fight. Loma is also an atomweight striker and she gave Gomes a tour of the octagon. Bruna fights with her hands by her knees and even though there is a TON of hype on Yarugi, she was hurt multiple times by Lucinda in her debut whose regional tape was all TDs and grappling with zero striking. Gomes was like +200 in that fight and now shes a fav over HIll. Recency bias on both fights.
 
Hill/Gomes split decision +300 is pretty generous considering the fight is heavily favored to go the distance and Hill is usually in a bunch of close fights
 
Borralho by KO at +500 seems interesting. Abus hasn't been subbed in a decade, and Caio isn't the most aggressive guy when it comes to subs. I think him catching Abus with a counter and pouring it on isn't very far fetched.

As far as the Bonfim/Pichel fight goes, I think o2.5 is a very good alternative to Bonfim ML, also covers Pichel somehow being able to grind on him. Ismael has good boxing but he's not the finisher his brother is, I think he'll be content to outpoint Pichel, and Vinc is a damn tough guy who won't go away easy as well.
 
I have a weird feeling about the Almeida/Lewis fight. I feel like Almeida struggles to get the sub and is stopped by Lewis. Almeida's level of opposition has been average too.
 
MAlexander22 said:
I have a weird feeling about the Almeida/Lewis fight. I feel like Almeida struggles to get the sub and is stopped by Lewis. Almeida's level of opposition has been average too.
Click to expand...
gettin these vibes

knockout-derrick-lewis.gif
 
Jae Gibbz said:
You should have an extra $500 in your account. Check transactions
Click to expand...
Wow. Thx for the heads up. $500 in my account. I don’t really use them anymore because they suck. Will probably just withdraw it

Think they’re just doing this to compete with all the us books
 
EndlessCritic said:
gettin these vibes

knockout-derrick-lewis.gif
Click to expand...

I feel like so many people are high on Almeida here. Lewis looked in great shape last fight. Signed a new deal too. That either means Lewis looks like shit again and loses convincingly, before fighting lesser opposition after this and winning easy, or he looks great and Almeida struggles to get Lewis to the ground and gets finished by Lewis on the feet. Weigh ins will be more telling.
 
MAlexander22 said:
I feel like so many people are high on Almeida here. Lewis looked in great shape last fight. Signed a new deal too. That either means Lewis looks like shit again and loses convincingly, before fighting lesser opposition after this and winning easy, or he looks great and Almeida struggles to get Lewis to the ground and gets finished by Lewis on the feet. Weigh ins will be more telling.
Click to expand...
Feel like Lewis could just throw Jailton off him with ease and get back up. Jailton never been hit by that kind of power. Fight ends in rd 1 or beast ko 1
 
Pretty much everyone knows Black Beast has about a 25% chance of landing a bomb and winning and if he doesn't, Almeida will look like he should've been -2000.

Probably the easiest "you know what you're getting yourself into" spot you'll ever see.

Can't even reference the Ngannou/BB staring contest because Almeida will try to close distance and get the TD so SOMETHING is gonna happen.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

DabanggData
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2, Miami, Florida, March 9
6 7 8
Replies
159
Views
9K
Spath
Spath
DabanggData
UFC Fight Night: Brandon vs Brandon, February 24
2 3 4
Replies
69
Views
5K
mkess101
mkess101
Leviticus
Joe Rogan completely self obsessed and annoying (Curtis Blaydes vs Jailton Almeida) UFC 299
2 3 4
Replies
70
Views
3K
Bobble Head
Bobble Head
DabanggData
UFC Apex: Tuivasa vs. Tybura, March 16, Saturday, 6 pm eastern
2 3 4
Replies
76
Views
5K
Stat_Collector
Stat_Collector

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,237,833
Messages
55,519,816
Members
174,808
Latest member
luciusaugustus

Share this page

Back
Top